Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TON11419 prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 3.532392 4.178111 4.936304 5.899628 7.101434 8.565101 10.503792
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 2.552232 3.325163 4.349143 5.834441 7.984303 11.065353 15.972914
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 2.104311 2.913308 4.071242 5.905817 8.850038 13.600470 22.323301
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 1.799207 2.609620 3.841438 5.935668 9.595122 16.129100 29.756049
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 1.624993 2.455874 3.788504 6.205127 10.779622 19.792145 41.181061
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 1.422036 2.217252 3.546287 6.081085 11.196562 22.126576 51.109883
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 1.280006 2.053746 3.397104 6.083767 11.849631 25.195201 64.842165
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 1.150681 1.891645 3.220707 5.990639 12.267706 27.889972 79.540543
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 1.071142 1.805375 3.167521 6.131942 13.252212 32.439650 104.094326
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.973538 1.672942 3.005104 6.005292 13.557120 35.286173 125.350493
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.944972 1.665574 3.086645 6.437096 15.426120 43.770267 180.535460
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.904011 1.628547 3.101082 6.715667 16.984648 52.220587 249.248345
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.858860 1.588275 3.125730 7.091121 19.194811 65.523898 382.562127
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.782701 1.477177 2.983310 7.023613 20.094961 74.926691 524.215394
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.727456 1.401556 2.906714 7.112175 21.580399 88.638826 765.851989
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.676180 1.327248 2.819929 7.149656 22.929078 103.477282 1113.667956
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.646533 1.296424 2.832574 7.487902 25.662495 130.195776 1882.589983
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.596180 1.212188 2.697651 7.332100 26.286430 144.776374 2618.735715
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.558592 1.152948 2.617669 7.335466 27.657495 167.440570 3997.096148
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.520027 1.086934 2.509780 7.218596 28.430376 187.267009 5841.315226
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.496600 1.054484 2.487343 7.395959 30.828207 227.401761 10516.721356
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.463299 0.994248 2.379288 7.236979 31.375156 250.963150 15832.406537
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 0.456070 0.997843 2.452014 7.779683 36.339343 340.977804 43310.873939